Report: Indianapolis “Opting-Out” of 2014 MotoGP Race?

Talking to the Indy Star, Mark Miles (CEO of Hulman & Co, the parent company to Indianapolis Motor Speedway) has put some doubt into the historic venue’s commitment to host the MotoGP Championship. Having a contract to run the race through the 2014 season, Miles said that IMS might opt-out of the final year in its agreement with Dorna (IMS apparently has this option for a brief window after the 2013 Indianapolis GP). However while the news has focused so far on IMS’s ability to opt-out, both Dorna and Indianapolis Motor Speedway have options in their contract to go through with the 2014 round, and with a bevy of variables in the air, we may or may not see three American GP rounds next year.

2014 Yamaha FZ-09 – Three Cylinders of Naked

Surprise! America will be getting a 847cc three-cylinder naked bike for the 2014 model year, the 2014 Yamaha FZ-09. Replacing the Yamaha FZ8 in the Japanese company’s line-up, the FZ-09 is the first motorcycle from the tuning fork brand to sport the Yamaha’s new line of three-cylinder engines. The Yamaha FZ-09 comes about as the MIC is reporting its second-consecutive year of growth in the 751+cc sport bike segment, as well as increase in commuter riding over short-distance sport riding. With those trends in mind, Yamaha has punched out the displacement on its middleweight naked bike, and focused on giving riders a comfortable, yet stout, motorcycle. Priced at $7,990 MSRP, we think Yamaha hit the nail pretty much on the head with this one.

Trackside Tuesday: The Mind-Killer

In the past few years I’ve come to believe that, while superior physical differences (their reflexes and fine motor skills) are significant, it’s the mental differences that are the most interesting. I suppose anyone who has ridden a motorcycle even a bit beyond one’s comfort zone can appreciate some part of the physical aspect of riding a racing bike. For most of us, even the speed of racers in local events is impressive compared to our street riding. While the skills with throttle, brakes, and balance are on a level similar to the best athletes in other sports, I think that what really sets motorcycle racers apart is their ability to overcome fear.

Video: Still Think Electric Motorcycles Are Slow?

The progress in the last five years on electric motorcycles has been astounding. Taking their first laps around the Isle of Man TT Mountain Course, a 87.434 mph pace was the best an electric motorcycle could do at the prestigious road race in 2009 — a pace that was on par with the 50cc record set in 1971. In just five years after the first laps were taken by electric motorcycles at Snaefell, these machines have grown their average lap speeds by over 20 mph at the TT Zero race, setting a new record of 109.675 mph in 2013, and boasting a rate of improvement of roughly 5 mph each year since 2009. If hitting 142.2 mph down the Sulby Straight speed trap wasn’t further proof of the speeds these bikes are achieving, maybe some visual evidence will help support the notion.

Here’s Your Feel Good Moment of the Week — Now, What’s Your Excuse for Not Riding Today?

Darius Glover is a dirt bike racer. Like you and me, he lives to ride, and when he is on two-wheels he feels the freedom that only other motorcyclists can truly understand. The thing is though, Darius is paralyzed from the waist down. Where others would give up their dreams and this sport, Darius at the age of 15 instead pushed onward. No pity parties, no excuses, just simply a daily example of where there is a will, there is a way, and a reminder that you can achieve anything that you put your mind to. It’s hard not to get a bit choked up listening to Darius tell his story, but you walk away feeling uplifted after feeling his attitude come across the screen.

Erzberg Rodeo – Red Bull’s S&M Playhouse for Motorcycles

Any race where 1,500 riders start, 500 qualify, and only 14 finish, has got to be an epic competition, and considering the fact that the Erzberg Rodeo starts in the excavation pit of an Austrian mine…well, it takes a special rider to be enticed by such an event. One such special rider is Graham Jarvis, who was the first of the fourteen men to reach the 20th and final checkpoint. Taking 2 hours and 52 seconds to complete the course, Jarvis made the 2013 Erzberg Rodeo look downright easy. However, with one look at the race-day conditions from this past weekend, we know it was anything but.

Controlling the Uncontrollable – The Role of Ritual in Racing

While normally, MotoGP fans never get enough of seeing Valentino Rossi on TV, there is one shot they would (for the most part) gladly be spared. As he leaves the pits, Rossi stands on the footpegs, and pulls his leathers from between his buttocks, before sitting back down again and leaving. These rituals – part useful limbering up, part invocation of Lady Luck – are something many riders perform, in their attempt to exert control over themselves, and over their environment. In a fascinating press release – by far the most interesting we have received in many months – the Aspar team today provided a discussion and explanation of what riders are trying to achieve through the use of these rituals.

Up-Close with the 2013 MotoCzysz E1pc

Hoping to make it four wins in a row, it goes without saying that the MotoCzysz crew is working hard to close the gap to the John McGuinness and the Mugen team. However, having Team Principal Michael Czysz stuck back in the US, undergoing cancer treatments, must certainly add another level of motivation for the on-island MotoCzysz crew. Making time in their busy schedule, Asphalt & Rubber got to take some up-close photos of the 2013 MotoCzysz E1pc. The most obvious changes made to the MotoCzysz E1pc for the 2013 TT Zero race are the use conventional suspension pieces. Of course, it’s not a completely standard suspension setup, as MotoCzysz has developed its own adjustable triple clamp that incorporates tunable lateral flex parameters.

MotoGP: Max Biaggi To Test Ben Spies’s Ducati at Mugello, Michele Pirro To Replace Spies at Barcelona

Max Biaggi is to make a surprise return to riding a MotoGP machine. The former 250 and World Superbike champion will take a seat on Ben Spies’ Ignite Pramac Ducati as part of a one-day test at Mugello, as part of Ducati’s testing program, according to Italian site GPOne. Spies was scheduled to stay on at Mugello to take part in a two-day test, but after the first day of practice at last weekend’s Italian Grand Prix, it was clear to both Spies and Ducati that his shoulder was still too weak to ride a MotoGP machine. With work continuing on the Desmosedici, it was important for Ducati to get as much data as possible on their bike, and so Biaggi was offered the chance to ride the machine.

MV Agusta F3 800: 146hp – 381 lbs – MVICS – EAS

Just as our Bothan spies had predicted, the folks in Varese, Italy have debuted an 800cc version of the MV Agusta F3. The new machine is cleverly named the MV Agusta F3 800, and as you may expect, the street bike features the 798cc three-cylinder engine that is found on the MV Agusta Brutale 800 and the still unreleased MV Agusta Rivale. Pepping that three-cylinder motor up to 146hp (note: MV Agusta continues to have some trouble converting kW into horsepower, and other publications continue to fail at checking MV’s math. Last we checked, 108.8 kW equalled 145.9 hp), MV Agusta has wedged the lump into its supersport chassis, and reports that no additional weight has come as a result.

Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles

10/05/2009 @ 3:32 am, by Jensen Beeler17 COMMENTS

Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles Neal Saiki Zero Motorcycles 635x425

Walking into the office of a company is always an interesting experience. For a company, the work place is the first expression of the company’s culture. Similarly, workspaces are often a reflection of the people that work inside them, an occupational rorschach test if you will. Yet, despite its importance and revealing nature, a company headquarters is rarely experienced by the end-consumer. It is an interesting disparity that occurs in every industry, and the electric motorcycle scene is no different.

Nestled just outside of Santa Cruz, California you’ll find the offices of Zero Motorcycles in a nondescript commercial building. With sales and management offices on top, the ground floor is dedicated to the bevy of engineers who make the magic happen. Humble and to the point, the engineering bay is true to task with its utilitarian layout. Test bikes abound, and are in various stages of build. On one lift, half a Zero DS can be seen, presumably still being tinkered on by the Zero team before it goes into final production.

Compare this scene to the spotless and chicly decorated office of MotoCzysz, where one expects to see Italian fashion models scurrying around the halls of the building, changing the oil of the numerous C1 MotoGP prototypes that decorate the corridors. Conversely the Brammo headquarters, with its green walls and large open warehouse space, mimics the green Ashland hills that provide inspiration for the company’s progressive environmental outlook. Only Mission Motors shares similarities to the Zero workspace, and unsurprisingly is another company whose nucleus is driven and directed by pure-bred engineers, and it is engineers that this article’s premise revolves around.

You can’t talk about engineers at Zero Motorcycles without talking to the company’s founder and CTO, Neal Saiki. Neal doesn’t keep an office on the top floor. Instead, you’ll find him in a cluttered office next to the company’s engineering bay, with drawings from his children decorating his office walls. After talking to Neal, it becomes abundantly clear who provides the driving inspiration for Zero’s decorum. Literally a rocket scientist, Saiki fits your quintessential profile for a Californian entrepreneur: highly educated, passionate, and above all else your prototypical engineer.

Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles Zero Motorcycles battery pack 635x425

Its not uncommon in technology based ventures for the company to revolve around an engineer or group of engineers. Often the driving force of innovation, engineers by their nature question and look to improve upon the established norm. Conversely, left without direction and hard deadlines, a group of engineers can whittle away at the same project, improving it ad nauseum, with no product launch date in sight. Because of these qualities, engineers are both the greatest asset and greatest detriment to a young company. For this reason, at some point early in a tech company’s life there must be some discussion of management succession, and Zero is shining example of a company that has survived its first transition in management gracefully.

The classic story that I usually use to personify this phenomenon occurred while doing I was doing due diligence for the Penn State Nittany Lion Venture Capital fund. An inventor came to our fund with a promising product. An engineer by trade, the inventor spent his free-time working out of a garage based workshop to create a simple product that cured an increasingly common problem. With a simple design, this engineer’s machine had been developed to use only two moving parts, and would likely outlive its owner. It was truly a shining achivement. It was the ever elusive elegant design.

The product had one problem though. Properly patented at its inception, this inventor had spent over 15 years perfecting his product to be as simple and full-proof as possible. Leaving likely only months of patent protection, this engineer’s pursuit of perfection closed any doors of the product coming to production. It is very likely that the product’s second or third revision would have easily satisfied the point-of-pain in the marketplace, but with virtually hundreds of revisions completed, the marginal utility of each improved design delivered ever decreasing amounts of value back.

All too often a company’s founder becomes the company’s worse enemy. For many entrepreneurs, their company is an extension of themselves; but for a company to grow successfully, it must also take on a life of its own, beyond its founder. Consider the analogy of a parent who nurtures their child through life, but then must take a backseat in that journey as they move away to start a life of their own.

For Saiki, Zero’s journey begins with the acknowledgment of where they began.

“We started out as a technology company. We developed a battery pack, which is why we’ve had the two or three years completely out in front of the industry with the smallest and lightest battery pack for the amount of energy it contains in the world. Having said that, there will be bigger companies with bigger resources that will dominate, that’s just the way it is.”

The bigger companies Saiki speaks of, are of course the Japanese Four (Honda, Kawasaki, Suzuki, Yamaha), which have dominated the motorcycle industry to date. With vastly larger resources, the Japanese Four have been able accomplish their domination primarily because of the barriers to entry in the motorcycle industry.

Essentially a motor with wheels attached to it, Neal hits the nail on the head when he describes that the Japanese Four have been able to exert such a large control over the market because of their understanding of the internal combustion motor. “Gasoline engines had a 100 year run, these things don’t change overnight,” says Saiki. “The barriers of entry are steep mainly because of the gas engine. Companies like the Japanese Four that have this incredible amount of resources to make the best engines in the world. You can’t compete against that. The great thing is you have electric vehicle technology, which is relatively simple and is revolutionary.”

Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles Zero Motorcycles DS lift 635x425

There are many ways in which we can talk about how the electric motorcycle industry is a revolutionary (as opposed to evolutionary) step in motorcycling, and its probably best left for another article of its own, but approaching the comment purely from a barrier point of view creates a striking prospect.

As Saiki explained to us, “The thing that’s kept people from making motorcycle companies in the past is that the engine technology is so horrendously hard to master, and this electric technology allows others like Brammo, us (Zero), and Mission to flourish, and provide some choices in the marketplace.” When it comes to electric motors and battery packs, all the players, both big and small, are on an equal playing field. Arguably, this is the last thing the Japanese Four, and the rest of the motorcycle industry wants.

Consider the stake-holders involved with a shift to electric motorcycles. “The Japanese Four don’t want to be the first ones into this, because they have dominance, and  they have a lot invested in gasoline technology. They really are the only ones that can produces a great gasoline engine. It’s going to be hard for them to get away from that technology, and go to another level playing field,” explains Saiki. The resistance goes beyond the major manufacturers though, consider all the parts suppliers whose products will be useless on an electric motorcycle, and the consider the motorcycling gold rush/land grab that will occur as electric motorcycles take off.

No one can make the argument that the industry will be able to avoid this change indefinitely, but we have an interesting phenomenon where the largest players have refrained from showing their hands. “They [the Japanese Four] typically use the fast follower business model. Japanese companies, they never like to take the bleeding edge on this kind of stuff. They want to see the market established, and then come in and take it over…it doesn’t make sense for them to take risks.” Instead, it would appear the major OEM’s are content for now to watch the fledging industry, and its flock of startups, do the heavy lifting in customer education and technical proofs of concept.

As the company’s CTO, the technical aspect is where Saiki’s job focuses now. If you take a quick look at the geographical map of the electric motorcycle industry, it becomes painfully obvious that it skews towards areas that flourish with technically advanced resources. Hoping to capitalize on those resources, Neal explained to us the reasoning behind Zero’s Santa Cruz locale:

“For us it made sense because of the electronics technology. We have three micro-processors on the bike, and getting talent for that type of thing, it helps to be close to Silicon Valley. There are a lot of electronic sub-systems that have to be developed if you want to have a robust system that’s reliable…I know for us Silicon Valley made sense, half our engineering staff is for electronics.”

It also probably doesn’t hurt that the west coast has been a center of the green movement, but talking to all the companies involved with electric motorcycles the first item on the agenda is very clear: price and performance parity with internal combustion engines.

For Saiki, the electric motorcycle in its current state is not too unlike the automobile when it first came out. Originally only for the rich, the automobile didn’t become a mainstay of American culture until Henry Ford came along with an affordable offering. Saiki has been quick to chastise his more expensive competitors, saying that they have missed the mark on what the consumer needs. Instead, Saiki says that he considers Zero to be the Ford of the electric motorcycle scene:

“We’re really into not just building electric vehicles and electric motorcycles, but also trying to make them affordable. We’re trying to bring our prices down, and be more affordable than guys like Brammo and Mission Motors. It’s really going to be who can be the first Henry Ford of this industry. Who can actually produce an electric motorcycle at a reasonable price that everyone can afford. And at that point if you have performance and reasonable price, there’s no reason not to buy an electric motorcycle.”

Unafraid of the looming prospect of the Japanese Four entering the industry with their larger budgets, partnerships, supply chains, and resources, Saiki believes that “there’s a lot of room for us as a company to exist with the Japanese Four.” Funded through private equity investments, Zero motorcycles aims to compete with the Japanese Four as they enter the marketplace, whereas other companies’ business models provide for an acquisition strategy. We might be getting ahead of ourselves with discussions of mergers, acquisitions, and investor exits, but it adds further intrigue to this budding industry, where we see all the major players funded via different methods, and with end goals just as equally diverse.

We may be some time off before an article about such possibilities can occur, until then we’ll agree with Neal’s statement that “we’re really just at the beginning of this technology,” and indeed we’re really just at the beginning of the possibilities.

Comment:

  1. Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – http://bit.ly/2uqXPp #motorcycle

  2. jar_o_flies says:

    What does/is this article attempting to say?

    The Emarket exists for entrepreneurs like Saiki, until the big four decide to dominate? Then their only hope is to partner/merge/or sell?

    What is Zero’s long term strategy? Does new battery development figure in? New motor development?

    Saiki acknowledges a battery advantage, now, and then admits that the fight is futile against the vast resources of the Big Four – isn’t that the case for his product as well? If not, why not?

    Saiki feels that there is space for Zero within a market that is also filled with Honda, Suzuki, Yamaha, and Kaw all doing Emoto’s. What does Zero look like at that point? How does he fit? Who does he fit?

    After reading this piece, I feel like I know a bit more about Zero and its founder, and a bit more about their direction (I like that the vehicle is not “green for green’s sake” but rather is being developed as an “option” – just as buying a twin, triple, 4 or 6 are “options” that work), but I still know little about how this business can survive after the game is really turned on.

    Again, it feels like a “coach building” era is coming at us with batteries and electric motor sourcing being put in various “framers”. Which is not to say such a development is a bad thing, only that this article fails to sway my opinion, or even point out a viable alternative.

  3. http://bit.ly/GB4dq Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – Asphalt & Rubb.. http://bit.ly/pK5Pf

  4. Brammofan says:

    RT @Asphalt_Rubber: Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – http://bit.ly/2uqXPp "who can be the first Ford of this industry?"

  5. skadamo says:

    Excellent article! RT @Asphalt_Rubber: Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – http://bit.ly/2uqXPp #electric #EV

  6. Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – Asphalt & Rubber http://bit.ly/1EowK2

  7. RT @brammofan: RT @Asphalt_Rubber: Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – http://bit.ly/2uqXPp "who can be the first Ford…

  8. Tradition Is Not A Business Model: Zero Motorcycles – Asphalt & Rubber: Motorcycle news, Industry Rumors, M.. http://bit.ly/1uhuYH

  9. I’d really like to see Zero and other players in this market produce an affordable high-performance streetbike that can be ridden agressively for a couple of hours before needing a recharge. The motocross style machines are great, but what I want is an electric motorcycle that can do the same job as a 600cc sports bike.

  10. skadamo says:

    This piece is telling me electric technology will flatten (probably temporarily) the market share of motorcycle sales. Right now a disproportionally small number of brands enjoy a large percentage of the sales. Zero is grabbing a piece and if they can deliver a better product long term with the right business model and services (clear your mind of motorcycle industry cliche) they can become the new leader.

    I think this flattening was going to happen anyway with KTM grabbing more sales from the big 4 in dirt bikes. Chinese grabbing sales from low displacement bikes and scooters. Electric will cause this to happen faster. The Big 4 will partner up with the people taking their market share. They have been doing it with the Chinese, Taiwanese and others for quite a while now. I hope Zero, Brammo and others can move fast enough and smart enough to become a big brand and not get sucked up by big $. Pay days are nice but a big American motorcycle brand other than Harley would be cool.

    I like this article because it really got my mind spinning about how the industry will change over the next decade.

  11. jar_o_flies says:

    “Technology will flatten the market share of motorcycle sales” – so, the expectation is for Emoto, produced by those other than the Big4, to capture a certain percentage of existing motorcycle market, thereby reducing the total share each of the Big4 holds of that market? This neglects “new riders”, and I’m assuming here, also those who perhaps would’ve purchased a scooter, and instead purchased an emoto – and keeps the total pool of motorcycle riders available looking the same, just riding a different motorcycle.

    Let’s say I agree with that, but at what point is this “flattening” unacceptable to the Big4 such that they do something about it, which would either be introducing their own product (which they are surely working on – if Honda has the time to pursue electric unicycles, surely they have capacity of some sufficient resource looking into altenative powertrain for their motorbikes), or as you stated, partner/absorb the existing offerings in the market? To me, this is the big question.

    Let’s say Zero’s plan works perfectly, and tomorrow they reveal a product that in everyway compares well with the performance of 600cc sportbikes – with all the advantages an E powertrain brings to the table. Let’s say they also, just as magically, have a dealer and service network in place to distribute and service this silver bullet vehicle – or at least something that performs as a conventional support network. In 2008 sportbike sales in the US were 165K units (this includes triumph, BMW, Ducati, and KTM as well), of which displacements of 501cc-750cc amounted to 82K amongst this group. What % of that figure starts to mean something to the existing players?

    More importantly, what % of that figure does Zero feel they need to capture to sustain existance? Production volume significantly impacts any company’s business case, and we’ve seen no discussion of this point in the article. At $7500, the least expensive MSRP of Zero’s current offerings, how many must be sold to break even? At 1000 units (roughly 1% of current market, so .25% of sales to each of the Big4 – think they will care? They’ll just sell more T-shirts), assuming Zero’s cost to be somewhere around 1/2 MSRP, and considering they are shipping via UPS (so no dealer cut in margin), gross sales would be around 3.5million – not a bad nut, except I’m sure those silicon valley digs (however non-descript), and silicon valley IT, EE, and ME types don’t come cheap – which altogether leaves precious little $$$ to pursue product development, which is probably the most important aspect of this sector.

    At the end of the day, I fail to see how such a player will change the industry. A functional Emoto with perfomance characteristics similar or close to existing ICE vehicles will change the industry, but only in as much as we will have another option along side of 2′s, 3′s, 4′s, and 6′s…….unless, of course, the vehicle delivers competive performance (or superior) and is vastly less expensive, or through electronic gimmickery provides some other novel advantage unavailable to ICE vehicles.

    Two guys will change the face of the motorcycle industry in the next decade. I don’t know their names, and there is a good chance they will not be directly employed by a motorcycle manufacturer. They will be the motor guy and the battery guy, names to be determined later.

  12. Zero Motorcycle, located Santa Cruz, California. – Shift to electric motorcycles – Company Overview http://bit.ly/vUrYG

  13. Zero Motorcycle, located Santa Cruz, California. – Shift to electric motorcycles – Company Overview http://bit.ly/vUrYG

  14. Zero Motorcycle, located Santa Cruz, California. – Shift to electric motorcycles – Company Overview http://bit.ly/vUrYG

  15. Zero Motorcycle, located Santa Cruz, California. – Shift to electric motorcycles – Company Overview http://bit.ly/vUrYG

  16. Edge says:

    Zero Motorcycle, located Santa Cruz, California. – Shift to electric motorcycles – Company Overview http://bit.ly/vUrYG

  17. Biker Pros says:

    Zero Motorcycle, located Santa Cruz, California. – Shift to electric motorcycles – Company Overview http://bit.ly/vUrYG