Winning a MotoGP championship – in fact, winning any motorcycle racing championship – is very hard indeed. It takes years of training, and a full season of utmost concentration, and hours, days, weeks, and months of hard work to get everything as perfect as possible. Losing a championship is done in seconds, maybe milliseconds. A single, small mistake, and you can throw away everything you have devoted your life to achieving.

Jorge Lorenzo came into Assen on a roll, off two victories in a row, at Mugello and Barcelona. Assen is a track which suits the Yamaha, and at which Lorenzo is outstanding. He was comfortably fastest in the morning session, ahead of Cal Crutchlow on the other Yamaha, and was just starting to get into the swing of things on a soaking track when he hit a patch of water deeper than he was expecting.

In the blink of an eye, he was tossed from his bike and onto his shoulder, suffering a displaced fracture of his left collarbone which will ensure that he will miss the race on Saturday at Assen. The momentum Lorenzo had been amassing in the previous races just hit a brick wall.

Lorenzo crashed at the worst part of the circuit conceivable. He entered the Hoge Heide corner – a fast right-left flick, with a little bit of camber – at 238 km/h, according to a Yamaha spokesperson, hitting the same section of track he had been riding over for the past seven laps in a row.

But the rain which had been falling heavily and steadily had caused water to gradually start pooling in ever greater quantities on the track. The eighth time Lorenzo hit that corner, the situation had changed, just enough for him to be catapulted off his bike and break his collarbone. It was an uncharacteristic mistake from an otherwise flawless rider.

So what caused Jorge Lorenzo’s crash? In a press release issued by Yamaha – reporters did not get to speak to the Spaniard, as he went from trackside to the medical center, and from the medical center to hospital in Assen – Lorenzo was quoted as saying it was simply a result of overconfidence. “I think I was too confident, at the moment of the crash I was very fast and felt very strong, but maybe the conditions weren’t the perfect ones to have this high confidence,” he said in the press release.

Directly after the crash, reporters went looking for the cause. All of the riders were asked what the conditions were like, whether that corner was particularly bad, and whether the paint used for the white lines was more slippery than at other circuits. The paint used in Holland is the same special paint used everywhere, Marc Marquez asserted. There shouldn’t be any difference. And yet everyone complained the while lines were very slippery here.

“I touched one on my first exit, and I knew that was something I didn’t want to be doing,” Nicky Hayden quipped. The curbs and white were more slippery than at other tracks, Andrea Dovizioso said, adding that he would be bringing up the issue in the Safety Commission.

Cal Crutchlow had his own theory of what happened: as the while lines are sprayed, something seems somehow to leech out of the paint itself, rendering not just the while line slippery, but also reducing grip along a narrow band of track just a few centimeters each side. Perhaps Lorenzo had hit a patch of that asphalt, and in combination with the rain, that had been enough to send him off the bike.

In the press release from Yamaha, Lorenzo was quoted as putting it down to aquaplaning. Hitting water at high speed had pushed his rear wheel towards the white line, and once that touched, the bike just flicked him off. It was a simple mistake, but one which could prove very costly.

Lorenzo now flies back to Barcelona, where he will be operated on either Friday or Saturday, by a team of surgeons at the Dexeus Institut led by Dr Mir. A plate will probably be inserted to pin the collarbone together, and Lorenzo will almost certainly race at the Sachsenring. Lorenzo’s teammate Valentino Rossi was optimistic. For sure, it will be difficult, Rossi told reporters, but a plated collarbone heals remarkably quickly. In ten days’ time, he could be strong enough to be back on podium pace.

It will be tough, certainly, especially as both the Sachsenring and Laguna Seca, which takes place just 7 days after the Sachsenring, are predominantely left handers. Laguna is the easier of the two, though, with Sachsenring’s downhill Turn 13 a particularly hard corner, with a lot of braking followed by a turn which requires quite a lot of strength.

On the other hand, Lorenzo was actually fairly lucky. Originally, the Sachsenring round was scheduled for next week, but got moved late in the planning because of a clash with Formula 1. And crashing at Assen on the first day of practice is better than crashing elsewhere, as the first day of practice is actually a day earlier than any other track.

And this crash does not necessarily mean the end of Lorenzo’s title hopes. There are still twelve races left this season, and at the moment, Lorenzo is just 7 points behind Dani Pedrosa.

A mistake by Pedrosa, a mechanical issue, or just a repeat of the chaos at Misano, which saw Pedrosa relegated to the back of the grid, where he was duly taken out by another rider; all of these things could seen Pedrosa end with a DNF, and then today’s crash by Lorenzo is canceled out.

Pedrosa may decide to play it safe in the race, and give away points he may regret at the end of the season. It ain’t over till it’s over, and we are still 5 months away from the end of the season.

The one question which fans immediately raised after Lorenzo’s crash was whether Yamaha could supply Lorenzo’s chassis to Cal Crutchlow, to make him more competitive against the Hondas. Yamaha could, but if they did, then Crutchlow would have two sessions of free practice – at least one of which will be wet – plus a 15 minute qualifying session to try to explore the limits of the bike.

Even though the two bikes are very close, they will just a little different, and that difference in feel will require a little bit of adaptation. That is the last thing you want to be dealing with halfway though a race weekend, and so Crutchlow is better off racing with what he has. Giving him Lorenzo’s bike would not necessarily immediately cure the few problems Crutchlow has been having.

But it is clear that Yamaha want to see better results from both Crutchlow and Rossi. The Italian said on Thursday afternoon that the crash put more pressure on him, to finish ahead of the Hondas, and try to take some points off them. That will be a tall order, but he will surely try.

With the front-end remedy found at Aragon still working, there is every chance he will do better here than he has done for the past five races. To do that, he will first have to qualify better. With the weather set to clear up for tomorrow afternoon, he is at least in with a shot. As Nicky Hayden always says, “that’s why we line up on Sunday. Because you never know what’s gonna happen.”

Photo: Yamaha Racing

This article was originally published on MotoMatters, and is republished here on Asphalt & Rubber with permission by the author.

  • L2C

    “A mistake by Pedrosa, a mechanical issue, or just a repeat of the chaos at Misano, which saw Pedrosa relegated to the back of the grid, where he was duly taken out by another rider; all of these things could seen Pedrosa end with a DNF, and then today’s crash by Lorenzo is canceled out.

    Pedrosa may decide to play it safe in the race, and give away points he may regret at the end of the season. It ain’t over till it’s over, and we are still 5 months away from the end of the season.”

    What is this? Some heartfelt encouragement for Lorenzo fans? A coded hex to get inside of Pedrosa’s head? Your Lorenzo bias bleeding through, yet again?

    I don’t believe for a second that if the roles were reversed, you would speculate (with commentary fit for’s comment section, no less) on how Lorenzo could DNF to even it out with Pedrosa. More than likely, you would instead pontificate on how hard it would be for Pedrosa to recover any lost ground, in the process of pumping up even more your already overblown characterizations of Lorenzo.

    There is no mention of Pedrosa retaining his early-season advantage in this piece. No, there is no mention of him even having an advantage. It’s mostly about how Lorenzo is still a threat even with a broken collarbone, and how he can regain ground if bad luck should befall Pedrosa.

    It’s also funny how you mention Lorenzo’s gathering momentum. Failing at the same time to mention the tremendous momentum that Pedrosa has gathered toward the championship, this early in the season. It’s as if Pedrosa is the one who has to come from behind instead of Lorenzo, when in fact Pedrosa’s momentum would be utterly devastating to Lorenzo’s hopes should it continue to increase through the latter half of this season.

    Lorenzo played it safe for the vast majority of last season, yet he was still the invincible, consistent, anointed chosen one of the Greek gods, according to you. You saw Lorenzo’s playing it safe as a strength, whereas with Pedrosa you would characterize it as a possible weakness – as *giving* away points.


  • L2C…. i couldn’t agree more.

    Last year, Lorenzo get that title after Stoner injury. And played safe the rest of season.

    Greek gods kkkkkkk

  • Calisdad

    There’s no debating that Lorenzo has made his share of mistakes. He is however attempting to get medical clearance to race this weekend. If Crutchlow was cleared to race with a broken ankle recently I don’t see how he can be denied. There will be no denying his grit if he is, and does. I can see Pedrosa denied a seat next year if he doesn’t bring Honda a title this year. He’s been there long enough and has had his opportunities. Oddly enough his teammate could be the one who keeps it from him.

  • Ax1464

    Most of the “white lines” in the article read “while lines”.

  • Zaiken

    Well, inst not an surprise, every comment or opinion from the expert from motorcycle world have one favorite or another in case of the author from motomatters website it’s clear who is the favorite from that site and its lorenzo.

    Everyones must choose a rider and theres no exceptions about it.

  • FafPak


    Well, David E. called it, and it came to pass. Pedrosa gave away points. Sorry but he seems not to deliver when it really matters/when the advantage should be his. I just dont know why…